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trivago N.V. (TRVG) · DCF calculator

What is one share of trivago worth today if its net income keeps growing and the market keeps paying the multiple it has paid? Every starting value below comes from trivago's own filings and price history. Change any of them; nothing here is a forecast or advice.

Price today
3.94
USD, close of 2026-10-13
Fair value today
2.25
-43.0% against the price
Price in 5 years
3.62
-8.2% from today
Yearly return
-1.7%
if bought at today's price

Assumptions

12.48M
Last twelve months to 2025-12-31, in USD.
%
What it did: 1.2% a year over the last 4.0 years.
%
Each year the rate is this much lower than the year before.
×
P/E at the end: its own five-year median is 134.0×, today 98.8×. The default is the lower.
%
A year. Not known for this company. Negative is a buyback.
%
The discount rate: what a year of waiting has to earn.

Net income, as filed and projected

As filed, trailing twelve monthsProjected
YearGrowthNet income
11.2%12.63M
21.1%12.76M
31.0%12.89M
40.9%13.00M
50.8%13.10M

How it is worked out

The figure is grown for each year of the horizon at a rate that fades, the multiple puts a market value on the last year's figure, and that value is divided over the share count as it will be by then. What that future price is worth today is it discounted at the return you want.

growth in year n = g × (1 − fade)n−1 figure in year n = figure in year n−1 × (1 + growth in year n) future price = figure in year N × multiple ÷ (shares today × (1 + share change)N) fair value = future price ÷ (1 + return wanted)N

The starting values are trivago's own: the latest twelve months of the figure as filed, what it actually grew at over four years, the company's own five-year median multiple of it or today's if that is lower, and what its share count actually did. A model this simple is only as good as the assumptions put into it, and the most important one -- that the business keeps growing -- is the one no filing can tell you.

trivago reports in EUR and its shares trade in USD. Its figures and its multiples are converted at one rate, 1 USD = 0.8989 EUR as at 2026-10-14, so a move in that rate over the five years shows up as a move in the multiple.

trivago's scores and multiples ›  ·  Every filed figure ›